India Out of WTC Race? What Happens If New Zealand Win 2nd Test in Pune?

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After a dominant 2-0 series win against Bangladesh, India had a rough start in the home series against New Zealand, suffering a crushing eight-wicket defeat in Bengaluru. Led by Rohit Sharma, India’s struggles continued in the second Test in Pune, where they were bowled out for just 156 runs in their first innings, leaving fans and experts highly disappointed.

New Zealand in Control, India in Trouble

The Indian batting lineup failed to capitalise on a favourable pitch, drawing sharp criticism for their underwhelming performance.

Meanwhile, New Zealand maintained their momentum, showcasing excellent cricket in the second innings. With a substantial 300-run lead already in their pocket, the visitors are on course to secure their second win in a row, leaving India on the verge of another home series loss.

With the possibility of a series defeat looming, the bigger question is whether India’s hopes of making it to the World Test Championship (WTC) final remain intact.

WTC Final Scenarios: India Still in the Race?

Despite the Pune Test not going their way, India currently sit at the top of the WTC points table with a PCT (Percentage of Points) of 68.06. They have won eight out of twelve matches, showcasing their dominance in the longest format. However, if India lose this match, their PCT will drop to 62.82 (assuming no penalties for slow over rates).

The good news for Rohit Sharma’s side is that even with this drop, they will remain slightly ahead of Australia, who are second on the table with a PCT of 62.50. But staying at the top won’t guarantee a smooth road to the final, as India must rely on favourable outcomes in other series to keep their hopes alive.

India’s path to the WTC final isn’t easy. They still have six matches left in this cycle, including five Tests against Australia on their home turf, which will be a tough challenge. If India can win all six matches without any over-rate penalties, their PCT could rise to 74.56. However, such an ideal outcome seems difficult to achieve.

To stay in contention, Rohit Sharma’s team must minimise losses in Australia and focus on staying ahead of Sri Lanka and South Africa in the points race. Consistent performances and strategic planning will be crucial as India push for a third consecutive WTC final appearance at Lord’s.

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